ROTMAN
Magazine
Rather than placing restrictions
on our choices, ‘nudges’ influence our behaviour by changing the way choices
are presented.
by Kim
Ly, Nina Mažar, Min Zhao and Dilip Soman
HAVE YOU
BEEN ‘NUDGED’ to
behave in a more socially- or economically-sustainable way lately? While you
might not realize it, you probably have. Drawing on findings from Behavioural Economics,
University of Chicago Professors Richard Thaler and Cass Sunstein first introduced
the notion of ‘nudging’ in their 2008 best-seller, Nudge: Improving
Decisions about Health, Wealth, and Happiness. A nudge, they taught
us, is any aspect of the ‘choice architecture’ that alters people’s behaviour
in a predictable way, without removing any options or significantly changing
economic consequences.
For example,
consider two school cafeterias that want to help students consume less junk
food. The first one decides to attack the problem by placing a ‘tax’ on burgers
and French fries and banning the sale of desserts altogether. The second
cafeteria takes an alternate route, adjusting its food-display system so that
junk foods are less visible and hence, less likely to be chosen. They place cookies, cupcakes and similar
items on higher, harder-to-reach shelves, while healthy foods like bananas and
yogurt are placed at eye level, within arm’s reach.
Both
cafeterias are trying to influence behaviour, but they are going about it in
entirely different ways: the first is attempting to influence behavior by
financially incentivizing customers to choose healthier options and restricting
available options —and thus, freedom of choice, while the second does neither
of these things, instead employing a ‘nudging strategy’ towards healthier
options.
Research
indicates that such nudges can have dramatic results. For example, while most people support the
idea of organ donation, they often fail to follow through with their
intentions. In many countries, potential
donors must proactively sign up for the program at the department of motor
vehicles and licensing, and the burden of requesting the required forms rests
with the potential donor. Meanwhile, in a nudging scenario, every applicant for
a license is actively asked whether he or she would like to participate in the
program. In the state of Illinois, this simple nudge has increased organ
donation rates dramatically, from 38 to 60 percent.
While a significant
change in economic outcome or incentives does not qualify as a nudge, a nudge
can serve to highlight an economic incentive. For example, members of a gym may
be nudged to exercise more frequently by framing their $600 annual membership
fee as $50 a month or approximately $12 a week. Another form of nudging
involves ‘the compromise effect.’
Studies show that, when presented with three different options that vary
in quality and price, most individuals will pick the middle option. Therefore,
if a wine company wants to sell more of a particular brand, it can surround
that wine with higherend and lower-end options to increase sales of the middle
option.
Both of
these examples show that changes in the environment or context can influence
our behaviour without significantly changing financial incentives or
restricting freedom of choice. Indeed, a
recent paper by Harvard’s Raj Chetty and colleagues compared a nudging strategy
in the realm of retirement savings (automatic contributions) with a more active
incentive (tax subsidies), concluding that the former is significantly more
effective than the latter.
With this
article, our goal is to complement the existing literature on nudging and
provide practitioners — or ‘choice architects’, per Thaler and Sunstein — with
some guidelines for developing nudges of their own.
A Nudging
Framework
Nudges vary
widely in terms of implementation and characteristics, from slight changes in
the text of a message to entirely new product innovations. However, regardless
of the method or medium used for implementation, they share four
characteristics.
1. NUDGES
SEEK TO BOOST SELF-CONTROL OR ACTIVATE A DESIRED
BEHAVIOUR.
The first
dimension looks at whether a nudge is designed to boost self-control and help
individuals follow through with a decision (such as contributing to a
retirement plan). With certain behaviours, such as saving money or exercising,
there is a discrepancy between what people would like to do and what
they end up doing. Nudges that help
boost self-control can correct for this discrepancy. In other domains such as littering,
individuals might not always actively consider what the right behaviour should
be. In this case, nudges are designed to
activate a desired behavior or norm and influence a decision that an
individual is indifferent or inattentive to. These behaviours are not at the
top-of-mind for the majority of people, and hence people are unlikely to impose
nudges that influence these behaviours upon themselves. Therefore, nudges that
seek to activate latent or non-existent behavioural standards in people rely on
exposing them to conditions in which those standards become more salient.
2. NUDGES
CAN BE EXTERNALLY-IMPOSED OR SELF-IMPOSED.
The second
dimension considers whether a nudge will be voluntarily adopted. Self-imposed
nudges are voluntarily adopted by people who wish to enact a behavioural
standard that they feel is important. Such nudges may include using products,
such as the well-known Save More Tomorrow™ program (developed by Thaler and
UCLA’s Shlomo Benartzi), or practices such as voluntarily asking for a
reduction on one’s credit limit. Externally imposed nudges do not
require people to voluntarily seek them out. Rather they passively shape
behaviour in the way they present available options, without constraining the
user.
3. NUDGES
CALL FOR THE USER TO BE EITHER MINDFUL OR MINDLESS ABOUT THE
DECISION AT HAND.
The third
dimension considers whether a nudge will guide the individual to take a more
cognitive, deliberate approach to decision-making and remove some of the
effects of the often unconscious behavioural influences present in the context;
or whether it will guide them towards a more automatic, implicit approach that
utilizes well-established behavioural influences or heuristics.
Mindful
nudges guide
individuals towards a more controlled state and help people follow through with
a behavioural standard that they would like to accomplish but have trouble
enacting. Such nudges influence the
intention to eat healthier, stop smoking, exercise and save more. Mostly, these
nudges help people make better intertemporal choices so that their behaviour in
the present better reflects their wishes for the future. Mindless nudges,
on the other hand, include the use of emotion, framing, or anchoring to sway
the decisions people make.
4. NUDGES
ENCOURAGE OR DISCOURAGE A PARTICULAR BEHAVIOUR.
The fourth
dimension considers whether a nudge encourages or discourages behaviour. Encouraging
nudges facilitate the implementation or continuation of a particular
behaviour. Discouraging nudges on the other hand, hinder or prevent
behaviour that is believed to be undesirable.
When
combined, these four dimensions result in 12 different types of nudges. Figure
One displays the taxonomy we have developed based on these dimensions, listing
specific examples for each type of nudge. In some cases, comprehensive programs
can have multiple nudges embedded within them, and hence it is possible for a
program to fall across multiple categories.
Nudging
in Action
We will now
present four examples of how nudges have been used successfully to help people
make better decisions.
INCREASING
VOTER PARTICIPATION. Improving
voter turnout is an ongoing challenge for many constituencies. A common
strategy is to emphasize low voter turnout in campaign communications, in hopes
that it will motivate citizens to come out and vote. However, emphasizing the
opposite — that voting is a common social practice — might be a more effective
strategy.
Experiments
conducted by Yale’s Alan Gerber and the Analyst Institute’s Todd Rogers compared
the effects of both strategies on voter intention during the 2005 New Jersey
and 2006 California elections. A phone campaign was developed using two sets of
telephone scripts: one emphasizing that voter turnout was expected to be low,
and another emphasizing that voter turnout was expected to be high. After
listening to the script, respondents were asked how likely they were to vote in
the upcoming election.
RESULTS: The high-turnout script increased the
likelihood of receiving a 100 per cent likely-to-vote response by seven per cent.
In addition, researchers found that the high-turnout script was most effective
on respondents who were occasional and infrequent voters.
DECREASING
PUBLIC LITTERING. Littering
is a problem for most of the world’s cities. While people know about its
harmful effects, they continue to litter. For example, in Copenhagen, it is
estimated that one in three individuals is guilty of occasional littering. To resolve this problem, a research team from
Roskilde University tested a nudge directed at pedestrians. The team placed green
footprints leading to several garbage and recycling bins in the city’s core. To
test their efficacy, they twice handed out wrapped caramels to nearby
pedestrians, both before and after the green footprints were applied. After
handing out the candy, they observed how many pedestrians followed the
footprints to the garbage bins to dispose of the caramel wrapper.
RESULTS: When the green footprints were in
use, the amount of caramel wrappers left littering the streets was reduced by
46 percent.
INCREASING
POST-SECONDARY ENROLLMENT IN LOW-INCOME FAMILIES.
Access to
higher education is an important issue, particularly for low-income families.
Financial aid programs have been developed to alleviate tuition costs in order
to make higher education more accessible. The United States federal application
for financial aid (FAFSA) is a long and tedious process that frustrates many
students and families; yet it is an important application that must be
completed in order to qualify for most state and institutional grants.
A team of
researchers partnered with H&R Block—the tax filing service company—to
design an intervention to reduce the complexity of the process. Researchers
designed software that worked with H&R Block’s tax filing software to
extract information from an individual’s income tax form and use it to
automatically fill in the FAFSA form. Approximately two thirds of the form could
be completed with the tax information provided, and the remainder could be
completed in less than 10 minutes with the help of a tax professional and the
researchers’ software.
RESULTS: Families with high school seniors or
recent graduates were 40 per cent more likely to submit a FAFSA application and
were also 33 per cent more likely to receive a Pell Grant—a major needs-based
federal grant.
INCREASING
COMMITMENT TO EXERCISE. ‘Exercise more’ is a common New Year’s resolution for many people, but
most fail to follow through with it. One reason, according to Yifan Zhang, co-founder
of Gym-Pact, has to do with gym memberships, which are usually paid up front at
the beginning of the year. Once that hurdle has been jumped, in the
individual’s mind, the money is spent (‘sunk’), and missing a gym session
doesn’t hurt any more than it would to attend. To counteract this problem,
Zhang and Geoff Oberhofer developed Gym-Pact, which employees what they call ‘motivational
fees’. Participants set a target number of gym visits each week and must pay a
penalty when they miss a gym session.
In
Gym-Pact’s initial trial phases, Zhang and Oberhofer purchased memberships on
behalf of the participants. While participants did not pay for their
membership, they committed to exercising four times per week. If they failed to
follow through, they would have to pay $25, and if they decided to leave the
program, they had to pay $75. Gym-Pact has now become a fullfledged business,
and while its business model has been adapted slightly, it still uses the
concept of motivational fees: participants still pay a penalty for missing
their commitments, but these penalties are now distributed back to the
participants who manage to follow-through, as a small reward.
RESULTS: In its first five months,
participants followed through with their commitments 90 per cent of the time.
Gym-Pact has been featured in the press and has expanded its business to help individuals
not just track workouts at the gym, but also at home and outdoors.
How to
Design a Nudge
The first
step in designing an effective nudging strategy is to audit the decision-making
process of your end user, which requires an analysis of both the context and
the task. Next, you identify the key heuristics and influences that may affect
the decision outcome.
Let’s take a
closer look at each step.
1. MAP
THE CONTEXT
Auditing
your end-user’s decision-making process will identify factors that might prevent
a user from following through with his or her intentions. These factors (or
‘bottlenecks’) represent areas where a nudging strategy can yield quick
dividends. Figure Two presents a set of questions that should be answered when
performing such an audit. The questions address four aspects of the decision-making
process:
• THE
PROPERTIES OF THE DECISION, including understanding the incentives and motivations
associated with the decision, and how much attention the decision receives. It
also includes identifying the choices presented to the individual, especially
the default option.
•
INFORMATION SOURCES and
how information related to the decision is gathered and presented.
•
FEATURES OF THE INDIVIDUAL’S MINDSET, and whether emotions influence the outcome of the decision.
•
ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIAL FACTORS such as peer pressure and lengthy application processes.
These factors can also influence the outcome.
After
auditing the decision, a map of the decision-making process is created. This
‘decision map’ outlines the critical actions involved with following through
with the desired decision.
Typically,
the outcome that a practitioner is aiming to influence is the culmination of a
number of smaller decisions and actions.
One of the biggest challenges in this domain (and indeed, domains like
health care, where the outcomes are distant and seemingly irrelevant to a young
person) is to trigger the importance of health and wealth management. The
desire to achieve an outcome (e.g., savings for a family home, children’s
education expenses) could be the result of a life event (e.g., marriage, birth of
a child) that motivates an individual to complete the needed actions (e.g.,
open an account, purchase a fund). As a result, life events are good moments to
nudge people to action.
2. SELECT
THE NUDGE
As
indicated, bottlenecks in the decision-making process are good starting points
to implement a nudge. For example, determining a contribution amount requires
two evaluations: how much money is available for retirement savings, and how
much will be needed for a comfortable retirement. Understanding how much money
is needed can be a bottleneck because individuals may not have the appropriate
calculation tools at hand.
Another
bottleneck relates to emotion: individuals may not feel they have enough money
to contribute to retirement and as a result, do not even bother to investigate
their options. An additional bottleneck that exists further down the process
can occur when selecting an investment fund: so many investment options are
available that the individual might not have the ability to analyze all
options.
Perhaps the
biggest bottleneck in solving the retirement savings problem is need
recognition — the fact that people seem to believe that retirement is so far
off in the future that it is too early to start thinking about it.
In thinking
through a solution to the various bottlenecks that an individual might face, we
recommend that the choice architect carefully think through the following
questions:
1. Is the
individual aware of what he or she needs to do, but unable to accomplish it —
or does a desired behaviour or action need to be activated?
2. Is the
individual motivated enough to impose a nudge on his or herself?
3. Is the
action more likely to be taken with increased cognition, or is the individual
already hampered by cognitive overload?
4. Is the
desired action not being accomplished because of a competing action, or due to
inertia? Consequently, should you aim to discourage the competing action or
encourage the target action?
In
closing
Developing
nudges is an interdisciplinary process that is project based and experimental
in nature. As indicated, it is a powerful approach that is now being applied
effectively in both for-profit and individual welfare domains.
While there
are many subtleties and nuances associated with developing effective nudges, we
hope that the general framework we have presented will make the process more
accessible to leaders across industries who are seeking more sustainable behaviour
from their end users.
Kim Ly (MBA ’08) is a research manager at
the Rotman School of Management. Nina Mažar and Min Zhao are
associate professors of Marketing at the Rotman School. Dilip Soman is
the Corus Chair in Communication Strategy and professor of Marketing at the
Rotman School and director of the India Innovation Institute at the University
of Toronto.
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